Wes Kosel shares thoughts from Bill Fenlon. Genius!
The math, the madness, and the emotion of it...
"To review, don’t foul and you are going to overtime 1 out of 5
times. Foul and there is a less than 1 in 20 chance you can be tied
in the missed free throw scenario. The only reason to choose not
to foul is fear of the two losing scenarios which are 1 in 750, and 1
in 12,000 respectively. There is not a gambler in Vegas or a
statistics professor east of the Mississippi who wouldn’t take that
bet and foul."