Total Pageviews

Sunday, May 5, 2024

Basketball: Lying Eyes?

“Who are you going to believe, your beloved husband or your lying eyes?” - Richard Pryor

We discount truths we prefer not to believe. 

  • We avoid opinions contrary to our beliefs (confirmation bias). 
  • People judge others based on ‘character’ and ourselves based on ‘circumstances’ (fundamental attribution error).

Our kid doesn’t make the team or get our desired role. It’s the lousy coach or some half-witted conspiracy. He passes up a three-pointer and we’re thinking “shoot” even though Johnny’s 1 for 15 from the arc on the season. We see with our heart not with our eyes

How can we overcome some of these 'cognitive biases' and use productive 'mental models'? Focus on reality. 
  • Study video, "the truth machine." 
  • Be a tracker. Shot charts, turnovers, and fouls trend. 
  • Be aware of "sample size" to see whether we have 'enough' observations.
  • Expand our "circle of competence" by studying other coaches, attending or watching clinics. 
  • Find a mentor or ally (coach) to provide non-judgmental feedback. 
Lagniappe. Zoomish. Downscreen into DHO into backdoor action via Chris Oliver. 
Lagniappe 2. Creating uncertainty for defenses. 

Lagniappe 3. What are our values?