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Monday, February 24, 2025

How to Lose Basketball Games

There's a saying about football that "three out of four games are lost not won." That means that turnovers, field position, and errors (e.g. missed blocks and tackles) often define team performance.

If we understand how games are most often lost, then we can "invert" and reduce those tendencies. "Thou shalt not..." 

Start with the Four Factors. 

1) Effective field goal percentage (net)

  • Take lower percentage shots for YOUR team. Apply NBA statistics to your team although your team shoots under 25% from three. 
  • Don't use hard to defend actions (pick-and-roll, urgent cutting, simple and complex screening). 
  • Allow opponents the shots they want from the shooters they want.
  • Have no plan and get crucified in transition. 
  • Allow middle penetration and don't pressure the ball.
  • Have weak shot contests and allow second shots. 
2) Turnovers (net)
  • Execute poorly via decisions and/or execution. 
  • Pass or dribble into traffic. Throw through hands. Pass to lower-skilled bigs moving in space. 
  • Don't pressure the ball or receivers. 
  • Struggle inbounding the ball against pressure. 
  • Don't emphasize pass and cut against pressure. 
3) Rebounding
  • Don't block out. 
  • Lack physical toughness and strength.
  • Be unaggressive without anticipation on the o-boards.
4) Attacking the basket 
  • Don't worry about getting layups and free throws.
  • Have a low percentage (below 70 percent) at the line. 
  • Foul relentlessly. Reach in. Slap down. Lean on players instead of moving your feet. 
And most of all, quit under pressure and don't worry about closing out games. 

Losing is easy. You may argue, "everyone knows that." Watch high school and youth games and they assuredly do not. 

Lagniappe. Cover 1.5 (your player and half of another) by North Texas. 

Lagniappe 2. Food for thought. Better mice, better mousetrap.  

Lagniappe 3. Basketball is a game of...separation and finishing. Don't get paid by the dribble.