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Thursday, June 6, 2024

Basketball: Look Where Nobody Is Looking

Michael Lewis shares that most of his books begin with examinations of places where nobody is looking. Moneyball looked at the Oakland A's use of analytics to find misvalued players. The Blind Side excavated the story of Michael Oher, evolving from a discarded 15 year-old to a coveted 17 year-old left tackle prospect. 

"Places where nobody is looking" abound. The Wizard of Oz looks behind the curtain. Jerry Tarkanian (Runnin' Rebel) found players by going where nobody else went. The greatest winner in hoop history, Bill Russell, was a relative unknown in high school. Diamond mining drives miners to look in undiscovered places. 

Find the will to look and to see what others do not. 

What coaches have unusual approaches or insights not widely available? The Newells, Woodens, Knights and Smiths we know. Why do we know less about Dave Smart, Jim Crutchfield, or Kirby Schepp? 

Information about the Princeton Offense is widespread. Unasked is which approaches generate more points per possession and fewer clicks? 

"Mining the undiscovered" reveals priceless treasures or 'dry holes'. Artificial intelligence unearths a wealth of information about the known. Can it uncover the unknown unknowns? 

Can we know where others aren't looking? It's much like the problem of knowing where to reinforce airplanes during WW2 by looking at the planes that returned. Survivorship bias needed reexamination

Crowdsource? There's no "idea food truck" or "firehose" to drink. 

  • Read widely.
  • Be open-minded.
  • Look for analogies.
  • Listen to 'old heads' like Hubie Brown.
  • Ask "what if?"
Lagniappe. Because movement kills defense, disrupt it. 

Lagniappe 2. Build athleticism.  

Post by @senada.greca
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