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Thursday, March 10, 2016

To Foul or Not, Up 3 Late

Wes Kosel shares thoughts from Bill Fenlon. Genius!

The math, the madness, and the emotion of it...

"To review, don’t foul and you are going to overtime 1 out of 5 times. Foul and there is a less than 1 in 20 chance you can be tied in the missed free throw scenario. The only reason to choose not to foul is fear of the two losing scenarios which are 1 in 750, and 1 in 12,000 respectively. There is not a gambler in Vegas or a statistics professor east of the Mississippi who wouldn’t take that bet and foul."